However, in real-world arguments, formal logic is limited.
In ordinary social arguments, we have less certainty, more noise, time constraints...
For example, how would you assess the structure of this argument?
- You often like books set on boats.
- Piratica by Tanith Lee is a book set on a boat.
- Therefore you should read Piratica by Tanith Lee.
By deductive standards, we'd have to chuck it out. There are all sorts of ways that conclusion could be wrong:
- Maybe the subset of boat-related books you don't like are ones about pirates.
- Maybe every copy of Piratica got burned to ashes in a freak firestorm.
- Maybe there are just other things to do with your time that are more important to you than one specific book recommendation.
But it's not a bad argument!
It's very reasonable to recommend books to people based on the stuff they like.
We call this kind of reasoning informal or inductive. The goal isn't 100% absolute certainty; rather it's to discover (or persuade an audience of) what's most likely.
Instead of validity, inductive reasoning is judged on how strong or weak the relationship is between the main claim and its supporting reasoning and evidence.
The problem is that this is a lot harder to establish than validity, which is why so many arguments just never seem to end.